Readers of last month’s blog about Daniel Kahneman’s work in decision making suggested I read this book and Michael Lewis latest, “The Undoing Project”, which is about DK’s work. I trust Lewis’ will be more readable as Superforecasting is well, but academically written. It’s still worth the slog if only due to two great findings from many years of research through what Tetlock titled the “Good Judgment Project”. First, and foremost in my view, is that teams of forecasters are more dependable than one so-called genius. And secondly, that the traits of good leaders conflict with the traits of good forecasters. That’s quite reassuring to me since my most enduring thought of leadership is collecting strength from diversity rather than gaining consensus for one’s own brilliance.
"Superforecasting, The Art and Science of Predicting", by Tetlock and Gardner
Feb 1, 2017 5:52:29 AM / by Tim McCarthy posted in Creativity & Favorites
"Time in a Bottle" | Jim Croce I've always loved this song. It's a beautiful melody with a beautiful sentiment. Enjoy! |
"If you don't know where you are going, you'll end up someplace else."
"Life Changers; Never Forever" by Tim McCarthy
Nov 29, 2016 6:19:00 PM / by Tim McCarthy posted in Monthly Newsletter
Raising Canes of Ohio (our partnerships restaurant company) is approaching 1,000 employees. At that size, I find it cool that our son, Timmy, its founder still does many exit and stay interviews with its crew members and managers.
Recommended Books - "Impact Investing: Transforming How We Make Money While Making a Difference" (Wiley, 2011) by Antony Bugg-Levine | CEO of Nonprofit Finance Fund
Nov 29, 2016 6:08:00 PM / by Tim McCarthy posted in Creativity & Favorites
"In the book we describe the “bifurcated world” that most people inhabit, in which they assume that the only way to solve social challenges is through government and charity and that the only purpose of business and investing is to make money. Impact investors reject that worldview. We recognize that for-profit investment can be both a morally legitimate and economically effective way to address social and environmental challenges."
Amazing Music: "If It Be Your Will" by Leonard Cohen
Nov 29, 2016 5:22:00 PM / by Tim McCarthy posted in Creativity & Favorites
Editor’s note: A beautiful prayer by Leonard Cohen. Enough said. The words below are part of his introduction to the song at his 1985 Warsaw concert.
Article of Interest: The Power of Emotional Agility
Nov 29, 2016 5:05:00 PM / by Tim McCarthy posted in Learning and Knowledge
Editor’s Note: I’m a slave to impulse though thankfully less so as I age and mellow. But it still takes a huge effort for me (Alice says I’m not “type A”, I’m “type AAA”) to notice my emotions before I act upon them. I love this website in general but ever more when thoughts such as these are shared. Thanks, as always to www.dailygood.org, knowledge@wharton and Susan David, whose book I am downloading this morning.
Charitable Business and the Business of Charity
Oct 31, 2016 6:25:00 AM / by Tim McCarthy posted in Monthly Newsletter
All business is social.
Recommended Books - “Makers and Takers”, by Rana Foroohar
Oct 30, 2016 5:38:00 PM / by Tim McCarthy posted in Creativity & Favorites
Editor’s note: Tell me if you’ve heard this before: “the financial system is ruining our democracy”. Right, me too. But Foroohar is not the Thomas Picketty or Tragic Idealist take, whose solutions are neo-socialistic such as redistribution of income. Foroohar offers five solutions in the last chapter and while they’re a bit idealisitic, they are fairly precise such as #1: Reduce complexity and leverage. I believe we will wake up one day, whether thoughtfully or rudely and return to a more traditional capitalism, using banks to finance investment, debt and long term growth. Financial firms will return to products that aid the creation of goods, services, innovation, research and advancements rather than engineered financial products that simply move debt around. In the meantime, I’ll continue to worry.